Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.789870 0.914840 1.050139 1.207125 1.383865 1.576288 1.801225
2024-12-29 0.619610 0.796175 1.004260 1.265822 1.583895 1.956116 2.422461
2025-01-05 0.481157 0.676827 0.924853 1.258258 1.690100 2.225517 2.933807
2025-01-12 0.382308 0.582968 0.854156 1.240400 1.768071 2.454417 3.403571
2025-01-19 0.312373 0.512526 0.799037 1.228428 1.842750 2.675128 3.870005
2025-01-26 0.268709 0.470767 0.775112 1.251932 1.961679 2.957223 4.431715
2025-02-02 0.232042 0.432576 0.749384 1.266506 2.064554 3.219421 4.978278
2025-02-09 0.200749 0.397271 0.722168 1.273318 2.152869 3.462662 5.508761
2025-02-16 0.179400 0.375081 0.712264 1.304438 2.278080 3.765071 6.140153
2025-02-23 0.158126 0.349254 0.692367 1.315744 2.370722 4.021450 6.714427
2025-03-02 0.132293 0.310202 0.644016 1.272828 2.369921 4.130586 7.066680
2025-03-09 0.120861 0.297710 0.641735 1.308980 2.501833 4.455033 7.769041
2025-03-16 0.109129 0.283065 0.634359 1.336476 2.623242 4.773518 8.485990
2025-03-23 0.103537 0.280924 0.650989 1.409879 2.830325 5.245039 9.475376
2025-03-30 0.090756 0.260132 0.627599 1.404696 2.896073 5.483134 10.093651
2025-04-06 0.078581 0.238345 0.599103 1.386092 2.934767 5.675743 10.643894
2025-04-13 0.068577 0.219867 0.575021 1.373261 2.982001 5.883898 11.228060
2025-04-20 0.062591 0.210666 0.570185 1.399239 3.104409 6.230158 12.064271
2025-04-27 0.056618 0.200282 0.561224 1.415313 3.208005 6.547101 12.862526
2025-05-04 0.050819 0.189156 0.548986 1.422819 3.294497 6.836408 13.623658
2025-05-11 0.047075 0.183363 0.548910 1.457053 3.436855 7.235175 14.596403
2025-05-18 0.042621 0.174396 0.539690 1.469487 3.534741 7.554745 15.438453
2025-05-25 0.036071 0.157009 0.506292 1.422287 3.503886 7.627543 15.831226